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Antire AI Survey 2026

AI in Norway: Are we really ahead?

Despite the attention AI gets in the board room, there's little documentation of measurable value. 

This report explores the state of AI in Norwegian companies through in depth interviews with 29 C-level leaders across organizations representing around 95 000 employees.

The state of AI in numbers

55%

Name culture, leadership, or change related issues as the biggest barrier

100%

Of top performers have named ownership of AI strategy and initiatives

0%

Report measurable AI impact above 20%, either clear or partial

01 Strategy & positioning

Ambition is high but operational reality lags behind.

02 Adoption & value

AI is in production, yet value stays narrow and uneven.

03 Top performers

Named ownership, governance, and operating discipline set the leaders apart.

04 Data & technology

Data foundations, sovereignty, and deployment models shape what can scale.

05 Organization & governance

Ownership exists in practice but formal governance is still catching up.

06 What holds adoption back

Culture, leadership, and change capacity are the real bottlenecks.

07 Future outlook

Time horizon, economics, and agentic AI over the next five years.

08 Antire point of view

How organizations move from pilots to operating discipline.

Where do you stand?

Get in touch to explore where you stand compared to the competition. 

01 Strategy & positioning

01 AI reality v2.

Strategy & positioning

Ambition is high but operational reality lags

While strategic important and ambitions for AI is high, reality is that most organizations are yet to implement it in their core operations. 

The majority of organizations have AI in production in support functions. However, only 31% report AI in their core operations, indicating that the blocker is no longer strategic attention, but the ability to execute. 

The job now is less about building enthusiasm, and more about making AI a normal part of how work gets prioritized and managed.

02 Ambition meets execution v2.

The intersection between ambition and execution

Leaders rate AI as strategically important, scoring it 6.5 out of 10 on average. Operational maturity tells a different story at 2.5 out of 4 as the average, with 20 of 29 organizations sitting at or below the midpoint and none reaching the top.

This leaves majority of organizations themselves in the upper left quadrant with high ambition that is not yet met in execution, a pattern that is likely explained by the recent entry and fast development of AI.

“
Everyone in here feels we're way behind. Then we go out and talk to people and realize we're actually way ahead.
Interviewee quote

AI maturity needs benchmarking

Leaders lack a clear external benchmark for AI maturity. Without a reference point, organizations either underinvest because they feel behind or overestimate progress because tools are available and evolving fast.

The quote from one of the participants demonstrates the need for benchmarking in early stage but fast developing technologies for which there is a lot of buzz in the market.

02 Adoption & value

03 Adoption pattern by function v2.

Adoption & Value

Adoption is high when errors are cheap

Naturally, when errors are less costly and easily recoverable, adoption is faster and higher. When errors are hard to reverse or decisions are safety critical and operationally complex, there is lower adoption, as seen for supply chain and core operations.

Another aspect influencing the adoption is the usability of data. If there is a lack of structure to the data, AI adoption is difficult as this is one of the core requirements for the technology to be able to give useful output. Within marketing, sales, and customer service this is what often holds adoption back although the cost of failure is low.

“
We're a monopoly. Competitive advantage and efficiency aren't relevant to us.
Interviewee quote

Competitive landscape shapes adoption

Adoption of new technologies is also largely driven by the competitive landscape. The fear of falling behind drives innovation, but when there is little to no competition the adoption logic changes significantly. There is less need for innovation and efficiency is not a priority.
05 Impact distribution pie

Low investment limits value gain

While many claim the strategic importance of AI, the investments are telling a different story, leading to value gains that are yet to materialize on an enterprise level.

With IT spend being on average 15% of the organizations total budget, and AI comprising only 12% of the IT budget, the implied share of total budget spent on AI is only 1.8% of the total budget. Consequentially, 24% of respondents report a clear or partial impact above 5% but none report impact above 20%. 

To scale AI in the more difficult, but high impact operations, investments are required beyond licensing. Data, platforms, governance, and integrations are all prerequisites to successful AI implementation, and they require investments.

03 Top performers

06 Top performers v2.

Top performers

Named ownership is the clearest separator

Among the top performers, those gaining most value from AI today, one thing is clear; they have named AI ownership internally and report to the board on the topic. All this is supported by having structured high risk registers and leadership led culture intervention.

Other similarities include mature data foundations, but is less clearly distinct between those who succeed and those who do not. 

While named ownership is the entry ticket, sustained success and production depends on leadership, governance, and data foundations.

Three challenges that laggards fail to overcome

Across lower adoption organizations, three recurring pitfalls are evident, out of which at least two are easily avoided.

Regulation treated as ceiling

The first issue is to treat regulations as ceilings rather than boundaries, using it as an excuse not to try. By setting low risk boundaries, leaders can drive adoption and exploration.

Budget constrained too early

The second is to apply budget constraints too early and not allowing for proper testing of the contributed value before pulling back on spend. Through clear strategy and measurement against KPI's, value can be proven which in turn will motivate the spend.

Late starters react to GenAI

The last differentiator between the top performers and laggards is related to when they started. Naturally, those who have started late and are reacting to the widespread availability of GenAI are further behind than those who have had machine learning (ML) in place for years.

“
I'm pretty sure people inside the ministry can't even spell API.
Interviewee quote

Integration capability is still an adoption bottleneck

While ambitions may be high, AI maturity requires more than just access to models. It requires digital and integration capability. Without data access, APIs, integration patterns, and product oriented delivery capabilities, AI will not scale or bring the value anticipated.

04 Data & technology

07 Single source of truth pie v2.

Data & technology

Data foundations are still constraining scale

While the data foundations are good enough to support pilots, they are not yet strong enough to support broad scaling. 

Only 31% of respondents have an established single source of truth. Data quality, availability, ownership, and integration are the most cited blockers to getting a good data foundation in place to build AI upon. 

Given the current data maturity level, it is not surprising to see AI mainly in pilots and supporting functions with limited adoption in core operations.

08 Maturity breakdown physical AI

Physical AI is selective but emerging

AI does not only exist in software or digital environments, but can also interact with the physical world through robots, often in industrial settings. 

21% of the sampled organizations have production level AI applied in physical operations, and another 14% have limited use or pilots in place. This indicates an emerging, but not yet widespread use. The relevance is also industry dependent which may explain some of the numbers.

Adoption of physical AI appears where organizations have readily available operational data, connected assets, automation maturity, and clear human review points. It does not start with the robot, but with the data, workflows, and decisions.

09 Maturity breakdown traditional ML

Machine learning is already in production

Machine learning (ML) works to teach a machine to do a task autonomously and to improve over time based on experience. ML has existed for a much longer time than the LLMs we know today, explaining the maturity in the field.

Where forecasting drives decisions, 31% of participants report machine learning in production. Another 10% report limited use or pilots in place. This covers areas such as pricing and revenue optimization, inventory planning, trading and energy optimization, as well as routing and operational planning.

While most organizations can implement LLM's into their work, ML is not as easily implemented and typically requires external expertise within the area. If it was easier, the adoption rate for production would likely be higher than 31% given the value it creates.

“
We come with a Mercedes full of cracks, while the competitors come with a perfectly decent Volkswagen that can get you from A to B.
Interviewee quote

Usability and time to value over technical complexity

The most technically sophisticated solution is not necessarily the best one, especially if the complexity comes with unreliability or risk for failure.

AI products need to be designed for adoption and the winning solution is often the one users can easily operate and that gets the job done, or as cited; that can get you from A to B.

05 Organization & governance

10 Governance maturity ladder v2.

Organization & governance

Rules are common but policies are rare

While ownership exists in practice, formal governance, board reporting, and risk routines are still catching up.

Out of the participating organizations, 76% report some form of GenAI usage rules. However, only 20% claim to have a comprehensive AI policy, indicating many organizations are falling behind on the very things that make the top performers stand out. 

To succeed with scaling and gain the measurable value of AI, formalized ownership and governance are the first building blocks.

11 Readiness breakdown pie v2.

Organization & governance

Emerging but uneven EU AI Act readiness

Similarly to internal governance figures, when it comes to external reporting, maturity is still rather low. The EU AI Act forces organizations to know which use cases are high risk, who owns them, how vendors are assessed, and how decisions are documented. 

Only 28% of respondents describe a formal AI governance framework, while 17% have an informal approach and 14% describe their framework as under development.

While the full scope of the EU AI Act is not enforced until 2027, organizations should be considering and preparing for it already. Doing so will likely also support internal governance.

“
AI isn't allowed here. So officially, nobody uses it. Unofficially though, it's a house party. Pure shadow IT.
Interviewee quote

Overly restrictive governance can increase risk

While governance is an important factor in reducing risk, it can potentially have the opposite effect when taken too far. 

Governance should create safe adoption paths by setting the guardrails for use. With a technology as widespread as AI, complete prohibition will very likely trigger unwanted behaviour.

06 What holds adoption back

12 Ranking of barriers v2.

What holds adoption back

Culture and leadership are the largest barrier

No other aspects is near as commonly mentioned when asked what is holding AI adoption back. Only 7% mention technology or talent respectively, while 55% lift culture and leadership as the biggest blocker.

Change management takes time and requires dedication, and cultural shifts take even longer. When new technologies emerge and become widely available, it is not surprising that leadership and culture is not keeping up.

In order to succeed with AI strategy, it is important to emphasize the culture and leadership aspects to ensure routines and behaviors change at speed.

13 What leaders would fix first v2.

The magic fix is practical but not contradictory

While culture is named as the biggest barrier, leaders are less unanimous when it comes to what they would prioritize if they could magically fix one thing to accelerate adoption. Culture and leadership is still the most commonly mentioned at 25% and people or competence at 17%. However, 54% point to data, access, or integration conditions.

All this indicates that while the biggest blocker might be in leadership at the moment, a tougher challenge to overcome might lie on the technical side for at least some. True expertise on how to set up an AI ready data foundation is difficult to come by, and magically fixing this hurdle then takes precedence over the culture and leadership. 

“
AI gets deprioritized fast when daily firefighting kicks in.
Interviewee quote

AI requires priority by leadership

Even if AI is prioritized in strategy, widespread adoption also requires prioritization in daily work. It requires management cadence, ownership, and follow through to not be deprioritized when urgent operational work kicks in. 

To succeed with adoption, leaders must show the way and put the work in to drive the cultural shift they are after. 

“
We've got people who can barely handle a mobile phone, and others deep into digital expertise, so we focus on improvement over time.
Interviewee quote

To increase adoption, leaders must keep the varying technical knowledge across the organization in mind to ensure the tools are readily available for use by the majority of employees with a low threshold to use. 

Adoption by the most advanced users is not sufficient to generate measurable effect, but upskilling over time for the average employee is where the real value lies.

07 Future outlook

The productivity story is shifting from headcount reduction to capacity release

30% increase in productivity

Several leaders describe targeted productivity gains by 2028, with workforce capacity freed for higher value work rather than simple headcount cuts.

What leaders said

"We plan to free up 150 FTEs over the next 18 months, not to reduce headcount, but to reskill for a product organized workforce"

Antire point of view

Released capacity does not automatically create value. Leaders must decide explicitly whether it becomes redeployment, new roles, productivity gain, or cost reduction.

“
If you pay 10 million in salary costs, much of that will be replaced by AI costs over five years.
Interviewee quote

Costs are shifting, not disappearing

AI economics are not only about savings. While labour and supplier costs may fall, platform, model, governance, and integrations costs are added.

“
One of our employees told us flat out: '90 percent of my job can be phased out in favor of AI'.
Interviewee quote

Change narratives shape adoption

While a task in itself might be completed with AI, licensing of AI tools alone will not threaten most jobs. AI requires workflow redesign, clear goals, structured data, governance, human supervision, and continuous evaluation to run smoothly. 

Shaping a positive change narrative around what AI frees people to do, not only what it removes helps avoid adoption resistance.

08 Antire point of view

What we assess

Data foundation

Scale starts with decision grade data. Assess how you stack up on:

AI operating model

Safe and scalable adoption requires an operating model. Assess your maturity on:

Use case scaling engine

Move from pilot to repeatable value. Identify your scaling use case, prioritized by:

Leadership led culture shift

Change how work gets done​. Assess your ability to drive the necessary change by evaluating:

Where do you stand?

Get in contact with Øyvind Dale Spørck, Chief AI Officer at Antire, to explore your position and potential. Fill out the form and he will be in touch shortly.

 

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